Jos Buttler and Jason Roy bludgeoned England to a 2-0 series lead in Cardiff. This five-game, bizarrely timed encounter heads to Trent Bridge for the third episode, where England can clinch an expected series win with victory.
England’s formidable line-up delivered in the second match, unlike the first. Players throughout the order contributed, but the destruction brought from Buttler and Roy pulled the game away from the tourists as England racked up a mammoth total.
The issues with conceding runs were prevalent again for England, as Australia reached 300 themselves, but rarely did they look as though they had a real chance of chasing down the total.
There’s no reason to believe Trent Bridge will be any different. Australia without Steve Smith and David Warner are short on firepower. Modern ODI cricket needs a deep, aggressive order, and Australia are lacking.
Shaun Marsh is a good price to be top batsman again, however, after his superb 131 in the second match.
It’s tough to applaud any of the Australian bowlers when they give up over 340. Ashton Agar was the most economical of the attack, but his lack of wicket-taking threat makes him a poor bet to be top bowler.
Despite being crashed to all parts and going at nearly nine an over, Andrew Tye is the best option in this market. Tye bowls at the death, giving him the chance for easy wickets as England throw the bat.
The top bowler market for England is an easier pick. Adil Rashid was mentioned in the first two previews and picked up three wickets in Cardiff.
The legspinner is targeted by the Australians, who smashed him to the boundary on six separate occasions in the second match, but always takes wickets in the middle overs.
Rashid is now one of the best white-ball bowlers in the world. As well as Australia can play leg spin, he almost always finds a way to influence a one-day international, whether through control or wickets. Trent Bridge might not the perfect surface for Rashid, but he’s still worth considering.
Picking a top batsman for England is tough. The go hard for all 50 overs approach means it’s very much boom or bust, and no batsman – perhaps with the exception of Joe Root – will look to hang around if they are struggling. For that exact reason, Buttler and Roy could easily throw it away in the third match after their Cardiff heroics.
England’s batting usually has one player that delivers, though. Whether a crafted knock from Root or a brutal hundred from someone else, England have a knack of finding a way.
The risk of Buttler not coming to the crease until late in the innings makes him a very risky top batsman bet. Root is the safest option here.
Australia are 31/20 underdogs to win in Nottingham. Nothing we’ve seen in the first two matches makes it seem like there’s any value whatsoever in that price.
England are worth backing to wrap up the series and hit more boundaries along the way.
*Odds subject to change - correct at time of writing*